Latest UK Opinion Polls: Voting Intention Tracker
As of 3 November 2026, Labour leads ElectaMeter's polling average on 28.5%, ahead of Conservative on 22.1% and Reform UK on 21.9%, a lead of 6.4 points.
Polling average and seat projections
Sorted by ElectaMeter's current polling average. Change is versus the previous update; bars are scaled to the largest poll average.
| Party | Poll average % | Change | Projected seats | Betting implied % |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Labour |
28.5%
|
0.0 pts | 365 | 45.3% |
| Conservative |
22.1%
|
-0.2 pts | 128 | 24.2% |
| Reform UK |
21.9%
|
+0.3 pts | 57 | 25.7% |
| Liberal Democrats |
9.6%
|
0.0 pts | 60 | 2.0% |
| Green Party |
9.2%
|
-0.2 pts | 2 | 2.8% |
| SNP |
2.6%
|
0.0 pts | 16 | 0.0% |
| Plaid Cymru |
1.1%
|
+0.3 pts | 3 | 0.0% |
Polling average and projections from ElectaMeter. Betting implied probabilities come from tracked markets and are not a prediction.
What this means
The largest projected party, Labour, is on 365 seats, at or above the 326-seat majority line.
The polling gap between Labour (28.5%) and Conservative (22.1%) is 6.4 points.
FAQ
Who is leading the UK polls right now?
As of 3 November 2026, Labour leads ElectaMeter's polling average on 28.5%, ahead of Conservative on 22.1% and Reform UK on 21.9%.
What is the latest Reform UK poll figure?
Reform UK is on 21.9% in ElectaMeter's polling average as of 3 November 2026, with a change of +0.3 pts and a betting implied probability of 25.7%.
What is the latest Labour poll figure?
Labour is on 28.5% in ElectaMeter's polling average as of 3 November 2026, with a change of 0.0 pts and a betting implied probability of 45.3%.
How is the ElectaMeter polling average calculated?
ElectaMeter blends published Westminster voting-intention polls, recency-weighted, into a single polling average. See /methodology for the full method.
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