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    Who is winning British politics right now?

    A real-time UK political index built from polls, betting odds and projections

    Browse polling trends, election odds, raw data and how the score is calculated.

    PNG
    Last updated: 4 September 2026

    Last successful scrape: polls 4 Sept, 09:26 · betting 4 Sept, 09:26 · seats 4 Sept, 09:26

    Balanced 60/30/10 mix. Older monthly points are placeholders until daily snapshots fill in.

    020406080100Aug 2024Sep 2024Oct 2024Nov 2024Dec 2024Jan 2025Feb 2025Mar 2025Apr 2025May 2025Jun 2025Jul 2025Aug 2025Sep 2025Oct 2025Nov 2025Dec 2025Jan 2026Feb 2026Mar 2026Apr 2026May 2026Jun 2026Jul 2026Aug 2026Sep 2026597245191952

    Current ElectaMeter Scores

    72
    Labour
    25.3% polls • 42.6% betting • 266 seats
    59
    Reform UK
    23.8% polls • 32.8% betting • 132 seats
    45
    Conservative
    20% polls • 19.7% betting • 119 seats
    19
    Liberal Democrats
    10.6% polls • 2% betting • 69 seats
    19
    Green Party
    11.3% polls • 3% betting • 6 seats
    5
    SNP
    2.9% polls • 0% betting • 35 seats
    2
    Plaid Cymru
    1% polls • 0% betting • 3 seats

    This week

    Labour leads the ElectaMeter at 72

    PNG

    Labour is on 72 in the balanced index, ahead of Reform UK on 59. That score blends a 25.3% poll average, 42.6% implied betting probability and 266 projected seats.

    Biggest polling movers this week: Reform UK -2, Labour -1.5, Green Party +1.4.

    The latest poll in the dataset is Find Out Now (2026-09-02), putting Reform on 21%, Labour 26% and the Conservatives 20%.

    Electoral Calculus currently projects Labour as the largest party on 266 seats.

    Index leader: Labour 72Biggest mover: Reform UK -2Newest poll: Find Out Now · 2026-09-02

    Auto-generated from ElectaMeter data. Not a prediction and not editorial analysis.

    RSS

    Leader ratings

    All preferred PM polls
    Andy Burnham
    37%
    Opinium
    Nigel Farage
    24%
    Opinium
    Kemi Badenoch
    19%
    Opinium
    Zack Polanski
    6%
    Find Out Now
    Leading in Polls

    Labour

    25.3% average

    Favourites in Betting

    Labour

    42.6% implied probability

    Projected Seats Leader

    Labour

    266 projected seats

    Biggest Movers This Week

    REF

    -2

    this week

    LAB

    -1.5

    this week

    GRN

    +1.4

    this week

    LD

    +1.1

    this week

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