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    LD

    Liberal Democrats

    ElectaMeter composite score and detailed breakdown

    19
    ElectaMeter Score
    +1.1 this week
    Poll Average
    10.6%
    Quality-weighted poll average
    Betting Probability
    2%
    Implied probability from markets
    Seat Projection
    69
    Projected GB seats (model)

    About Liberal Democrats

    The Liberal Democrats are a centrist, socially liberal party formed in 1988 from the merger of the Liberal Party and the Social Democratic Party. Under Ed Davey's leadership, the party pursued a hyper-local constituency strategy at the 2024 election, winning 72 seats — its best result in over a century. The Lib Dems focus on health and social care, environmental policy, electoral reform, and devolution.

    How ElectaMeter tracks Liberal Democrats

    ElectaMeter's score for the Lib Dems highlights the gap between national polling (where they appear smaller) and seat projections (where their targeted strategy makes them competitive). The 'Seat Focused' weighting on the dashboard better reflects the Lib Dems' actual parliamentary strength compared to 'Poll Heavy' mode.

    Weekly poll change
    +1.1
    Score vs last snapshot
    +0
    from 19 on 2026-09-03
    Strongest region
    South England
    15.7% modelled share

    Polling Trend

    8%10%12%14%16%Jul 2024Nov 2024Mar 2025Aug 2025Dec 2025Apr 2026Aug 202611%

    Regional Performance

    0%4%8%12%16%South EnglandLondonEnglandScotlandMidlandsNorth EnglandWales

    Latest Polls

    PollsterDateLD %Sample
    Find Out Now2 Sep 2026102,280
    YouGov1 Sep 2026122,244
    YouGov31 Aug 2026122,244
    More in Common31 Aug 2026112,522
    Opinium28 Aug 2026102,003
    Survation28 Aug 202692,149
    Find Out Now26 Aug 2026112,295
    BMG Research26 Aug 2026101,579
    YouGov24 Aug 2026132,380
    Deltapoll24 Aug 202682,022
    More in Common23 Aug 2026103,140
    Find Out Now19 Aug 2026112,287
    Survation18 Aug 2026102,013
    YouGov17 Aug 2026122,441
    Deltapoll17 Aug 202682,017

    Preferred PM ratings

    • Ed Davey · Find Out Now3%
    • Ed Davey · YouGov4%
    • Ed Davey · YouGov8%
    All ratings

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