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    Names are the 2024 GB seats. Colours are allocated so each region matches Electoral Calculus national totals and ElectaMeter regional weights. That is not a forecast for the named seat. Northern Ireland is not modelled.

    Seat names are the 2024 GB constituencies. Colours are allocated to match Electoral Calculus national totals and ElectaMeter regional weights — not a forecast for that seat. Northern Ireland is not modelled.

    ConstituencyRegionModelled colour
    Aberafan MaestegWalesReform UK
    Alyn and DeesideWalesReform UK
    Bangor AberconwyWalesReform UK
    Blaenau Gwent and RhymneyWalesReform UK
    Brecon, Radnor and Cwm TaweWalesReform UK
    BridgendWalesReform UK
    CaerfyrddinWalesReform UK
    CaerphillyWalesReform UK
    Cardiff EastWalesReform UK
    Cardiff NorthWalesLabour
    Cardiff South and PenarthWalesLabour
    Cardiff WestWalesLabour
    Ceredigion PreseliWalesLabour
    Clwyd EastWalesLabour
    Clwyd NorthWalesLabour
    Dwyfor MeirionnyddWalesLabour
    GowerWalesLabour
    LlanelliWalesLabour
    Merthyr Tydfil and AberdareWalesLabour
    Mid and South PembrokeshireWalesLabour
    MonmouthshireWalesLabour
    Montgomeryshire and GlyndwrWalesConservative
    Neath and Swansea EastWalesConservative
    Newport EastWalesConservative
    Newport West and IslwynWalesConservative

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