Regional Breakdown
How party support varies across UK regions.
This is a model, not a regional poll. National voting intention plus geographic modifiers (and Scotland/Wales nation polls where we can parse them). Northern Ireland is not included. Click or tab to a region. Search named GB constituencies.
Who leads where
Select a region with click or keyboard. Colour is the current modelled leader.
Projected seats · England
Seat names are the 2024 GB constituencies. Colours are allocated to match Electoral Calculus national totals and ElectaMeter regional weights — not a forecast for that seat. Northern Ireland is not modelled.
237
LAB
123
REF
115
CON
62
LD
6
GRN
543 projected seats in this view
England
REF28%
Scotland
SNP33%
Wales
REF27%
London
LAB37%
North England
REF34%
Midlands
REF32%
South England
CON27%
England Scores
vs National Average
How England compares to the UK-wide poll average
REF
+4.1pp
CON
+2.4pp
GRN
+1.2pp
LD
+0.8pp
LAB
+0.5pp
PC
-1.0pp
SNP
-2.9pp
All Regions
| Region | REF | LAB | CON | LD | GRN | SNP | PC |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| England | 27.9 | 25.8 | 22.4 | 11.4 | 12.5 | – | – |
| Scotland | 18.5 | 18.2 | 11.4 | 9.6 | 9.1 | 33.2 | – |
| Wales | 26.8 | 18.2 | 13.0 | 7.4 | 10.2 | – | 24.3 |
| London | 16.5 | 36.7 | 18.2 | 12.5 | 16.2 | – | – |
| North England | 33.6 | 31.8 | 16.3 | 8.1 | 10.2 | – | – |
| Midlands | 31.6 | 28.5 | 20.3 | 9.1 | 10.6 | – | – |
| South England | 23.7 | 18.7 | 27.3 | 15.7 | 14.7 | – | – |
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