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    SNP

    SNP

    ElectaMeter composite score and detailed breakdown

    5
    ElectaMeter Score
    +0.1 this week
    Poll Average
    2.9%
    Quality-weighted poll average
    Betting Probability
    0%
    Implied probability from markets
    Seat Projection
    35
    Projected GB seats (model)

    About SNP

    The Scottish National Party is a centre-left, pro-independence party and the main nationalist force in Scotland. It held most of Scotland's Westminster seats from 2015 to 2024. The party's core mission is Scottish independence, alongside progressive policies on public services, renewable energy, and social equality. Leadership passed from Nicola Sturgeon to Humza Yousaf and then to John Swinney.

    How ElectaMeter tracks SNP

    ElectaMeter tracks the SNP as a UK-wide party, meaning its national poll average appears low (typically 2–4%) since it only contests Scottish seats. The seat projection and regional breakdown components provide a more accurate picture of SNP strength. Use the Regions page to see Scotland-specific data where the SNP typically leads or places second.

    Weekly poll change
    +0.1
    Score vs last snapshot
    +0
    from 5 on 2026-09-03
    Strongest region
    Scotland
    33.2% modelled share

    Polling Trend

    0%2%4%Jul 2024Nov 2024Mar 2025Aug 2025Dec 2025Apr 2026Aug 20263%

    Regional Performance

    0%9%18%27%36%Scotland

    Latest Polls

    PollsterDateSNP %Sample
    Find Out Now2 Sep 202632,280
    YouGov1 Sep 202632,244
    YouGov31 Aug 202632,244
    More in Common31 Aug 202632,522
    Opinium28 Aug 202632,003
    Survation28 Aug 202622,149
    Find Out Now26 Aug 202632,295
    BMG Research26 Aug 202631,579
    YouGov24 Aug 202632,380
    Deltapoll24 Aug 202632,022
    More in Common23 Aug 202633,140
    Find Out Now19 Aug 202632,287
    Survation18 Aug 202632,013
    YouGov17 Aug 202632,441
    Deltapoll17 Aug 202622,017

    By-elections involving SNP

    • Aberdeen South (2026-06-18) — Conservative
    • Arbroath and Broughty Ferry (2026-06-18) — SNP

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